Crowded-Initialise
0x51928a6454475e6b0d883f5d6ba663670c83df62
Activity score
95/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$316.73
Total PnL
$28.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $156 Week of May 4 2026?
82 shares @ 79.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 8, 2026$76.59
$11.88
- DOWN
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 6?
52 shares @ 78.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp May 6, 2026$51.43
$11.03
- UP
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 6?
51 shares @ 95.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp May 6, 2026$50.53
$2.16
- YES
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $134 Week of May 4 2026?
111 shares @ 29.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp May 8, 2026$47.01
$14.93
- NO
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $132 Week of May 4 2026?
56 shares @ 59.0¢·now 75.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$42.03
$8.97
- NO
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 6?
35 shares @ 74.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp May 6, 2026$34.56
$8.58
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
164 shares @ 4.1¢·now 3.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.97
$-0.81
- YES
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by 70% or more?
249 shares @ 0.8¢·now 1.3¢·exp May 5, 2026$3.24
$1.18
- NO
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on May 6?
49 shares @ 3.2¢·now 4.8¢·exp May 6, 2026$2.32
$0.76
- YES
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 6?
50 shares @ 18.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp May 6, 2026$1.06
$-8.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $156 Week of May 4 2026?$21.682h ago
- TRADEBUYWill South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $156 Week of May 4 2026?$43.582h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $134 Week of May 4 2026?$16.503h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $134 Week of May 4 2026?$16.503h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $132 Week of May 4 2026?$33.603h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on May 6?$39.133h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on May 6?$29.264h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$1.284h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$1.104h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$1.104h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$1.104h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$1.104h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$1.104h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?$1.104h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on May 6?$201.924h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?$52.774h ago
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 6?$48.475h ago
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on May 6?$1.625h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on May 6?$2.025h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on May 6?$9.165h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $15.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 8h ago
- Last active
- 2h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".