Outlying-Sailboat
0x519794a3d72e8f18790b3089ac1e75cd74a40ce6
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
58
Open notional
$24.0K
Total PnL
$-7.7K
Realised
$122.04
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 58- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
56697 shares @ 8.6¢·now 9.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.2K
$316.43
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
90666 shares @ 3.3¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.1K
$128.02
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
12350 shares @ 24.3¢·now 24.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.0K
$25.69
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
56604 shares @ 5.3¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.9K
$-84.85
- YES
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
117647 shares @ 1.7¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.9K
$-58.82
- YES
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
150000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.6K
$75.00
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
73529 shares @ 1.7¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.1K
$-110.22
- YES
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
55556 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.0K
$27.83
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11236 shares @ 8.9¢·now 8.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$970.79
$-29.20
- YES
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
166667 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$916.67
$-83.33
Recent activity
- YIELD$2.11May 14, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Transgender" during events with Xi Jinping?$20.75May 13, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Autopen" or "Auto Pen" during events with Xi Jinping?$20.74May 13, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?$20.44May 13, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$20.58May 13, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "IQ" during events with Xi Jinping?$20.68May 13, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "North Korea" or "Kim Jong Un" during events with Xi Jinping?$20.57May 13, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Great Wall" during events with Xi Jinping?$20.59May 13, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tanker" during events with Xi Jinping?$20.53May 13, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$20.33May 13, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?$20.59May 13, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?$20.34May 13, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?$20.49May 13, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Farmer" during events with Xi Jinping?$20.49May 13, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hottest" during events with Xi Jinping?$20.54May 13, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?$20.64May 13, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?$20.64May 13, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$20.65May 13, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?$20.62May 13, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?$20.65May 13, 21:05 UTC
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $91.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".