Attached-Warmth
0x51ad6fa395b805a39235763647d6206983a5cf7c
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$11.57
Total PnL
$-1.43
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$1.96
$0.96
- NO
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.69
$0.69
- YES
Will "Crime 101" Second Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$1.18
$0.18
- YES
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.08
$0.08
- YES
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 15+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- YES
Will the DHS shutdown last 10 days or more?
1 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will the Republicans win the South Dakota governor race in 2026?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 89.8¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.93
$-0.07
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
3 shares @ 36.0¢·now 25.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.70
$-0.30
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on October 13?$1.04Feb 18, 18:02 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: Military Edition$1.23Feb 18, 18:02 UTC
- REDEEMTikTok sale announced in 2025?$1.39Feb 18, 18:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?$1.39Feb 18, 18:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$1.69Feb 18, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the DHS shutdown last 10 days or more?$1.00Feb 18, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 15+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?$1.00Feb 18, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Crime 101" Second Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?$1.00Feb 18, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the South Dakota governor race in 2026?$1.00Oct 27, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?$1.00Oct 27, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?$1.00Oct 15, 13:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Eric Adams drop out?$1.61Oct 9, 15:44 UTC
- REDEEMUS government shutdown in 2025?$1.75Oct 9, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on October 13?$1.00Oct 9, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: Military Edition$1.00Oct 9, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.00Sep 19, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?$1.00Sep 19, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$1.00Sep 19, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jim Gavin win the Irish Presidential Election?$1.00Sep 19, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$1.00Sep 19, 00:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $143.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 11, 07:18 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 18, 18:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".