Breakable-Fallingout
0x51b5b8b1574994d5472351b368f6e6e4a1af9975
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$323.62
Total PnL
$1.59
Realised
$0.15
Win rate
18%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
140 shares @ 64.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$89.08
$-0.70
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?
40 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$40.22
$0.00
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
38 shares @ 91.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$34.93
$0.19
- NO
Will Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026?
30 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$30.23
$-0.06
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
38 shares @ 69.0¢·now 68.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.96
$-0.38
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
25 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$24.90
$-0.16
- NO
Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obamacare" in May?
19 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$18.40
$0.10
- NO
Will Vance say "America" 20+ times during Air Force Academy Address?
16 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$15.59
$2.18
- NOTHING
Nothing Ever Happens: May
15 shares @ 91.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$13.35
$-0.22
- YES
Will Bessent say "Oil" or "Gas" during Press Briefing?
12 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$11.75
$0.94
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bessent say "No Tax" during Press Briefing?$5.21May 28, 16:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bessent say "Hormuz" or "Strait" during Press Briefing?$0.02May 28, 16:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$0.04May 28, 16:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Prediction Market" in May?$0.08May 28, 16:34 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: May$0.13May 28, 16:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bessent say "Oil" or "Gas" during Press Briefing?$0.10May 28, 16:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Barack Hussein Obamacare" in May?$0.17May 28, 16:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$0.23May 28, 16:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026?$0.29May 28, 16:34 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?$0.25May 28, 16:34 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$0.33May 28, 16:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?$0.39May 28, 16:34 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?$0.84May 28, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bessent say "Hormuz" or "Strait" during Press Briefing?$2.82May 28, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bessent say "Oil" or "Gas" during Press Briefing?$10.97May 28, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Barack Hussein Obamacare" in May?$18.53May 28, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$25.29May 28, 16:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$0.14May 28, 16:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Prediction Market" in May?$0.32May 28, 16:29 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: May$0.48May 28, 16:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $10.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 27, 20:39 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 16:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".