0x51c9336f0a766cd9004a10cb5400bf7705348825
0x51c9336f0a766cd9004a10cb5400bf7705348825
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$381.57
Total PnL
$-134.86
Realised
$-6.03
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
912 shares @ 11.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$86.60
$-13.40
- NO
Trump out as President before GTA VI?
102 shares @ 49.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$49.49
$-0.51
- YES
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
36 shares @ 69.7¢·now 69.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$24.74
$-0.26
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
26 shares @ 95.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$24.61
$-0.39
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
27 shares @ 94.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$24.60
$-0.40
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
26 shares @ 96.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$24.23
$-0.77
- YES
Will Reddit (RDDT) beat quarterly earnings?
22 shares @ 92.0¢·now 96.2¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$20.90
$0.90
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
125 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$19.94
$-0.06
- NO
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on April 30?
30 shares @ 82.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$16.31
$-8.69
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
20 shares @ 72.0¢·now 63.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$12.60
$-1.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?$5.0544m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$5.1745m ago
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$10.2645m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$5.0545m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$5.0545m ago
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$5.1145m ago
- TRADEBUYNuggets vs. Timberwolves$5.1045m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$5.2646m ago
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.1846m ago
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$10.3446m ago
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on April 30?$25.682h ago
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on April 30?$25.432h ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$25.253h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$25.255h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?$25.255h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Tripadvisor (TRIP) beat quarterly earnings?$26.009h ago
- REDEEMWill Qualcomm (QCOM) beat quarterly earnings?$0.0010h ago
- REDEEMWill Qualcomm (QCOM) beat quarterly earnings?$0.0010h ago
- REDEEMWill Qualcomm (QCOM) beat quarterly earnings?$32.4110h ago
- TRADESELLWill Caterpillar (CAT) beat quarterly earnings?$1.0610h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $20.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 2d ago
- Last active
- 44m ago
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".