Enchanted-Plaintiff
0x51fd8f0358cc9e8a1ee5f87a0c7e3b07ed634272
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$12.2K
Total PnL
$-70.9K
Realised
$86.0K
Win rate
83%
172 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?
50334 shares @ 3.3¢·now 8.8¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$4.5K
$2.8K
- YES
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?
60024 shares @ 1.6¢·now 2.9¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$1.7K
$764.53
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
55856 shares @ 0.7¢·now 1.7¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$921.63
$549.51
- YES
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series?
48143 shares @ 1.7¢·now 1.7¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$794.36
$-0.91
- YES
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
96099 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.8¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$720.74
$-107.92
- YES
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
36430 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$400.73
$-142.59
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
113782 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$398.24
$-739.13
- YES
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
40012 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$340.10
$-50.49
- YES
Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 World Series?
47251 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.7¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$307.13
$-5.29
- YES
Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 World Series?
46383 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.7¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$301.49
$-46.34
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?$0.17Jul 24, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Minnesota Twins win the 2026 World Series?$0.24Jul 24, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$7.00Jul 24, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?$0.19Jul 24, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Minnesota Twins win the 2026 World Series?$0.05Jul 24, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?$0.08Jul 24, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship?$20.73Jul 24, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?$38.00Jul 24, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$8.00Jul 24, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship?$11.00Jul 24, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$14.00Jul 24, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?$0.07Jul 24, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$1.40Jul 24, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?$0.21Jul 24, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?$0.22Jul 24, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Baltimore Ravens make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?$10.56Jul 24, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Buffalo Bills make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?$17.44Jul 24, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Dodgers win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season?$1.62Jul 24, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Dodgers win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season?$28.00Jul 24, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?$0.16Jul 24, 07:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
71/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
83% win rate over 172 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
172 closed markets, 83% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $4.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 23:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 09:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 172 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.