Caring-Eclipse
0x52071e89ed7f68478a428fd65aed5dc572be686b
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
42
Open notional
$32.8K
Total PnL
$939.30
Realised
$5.4K
Win rate
77%
26 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- NO
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
7057 shares @ 94.2¢·now 97.1¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$6.9K
$205.56
- NO
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
5508 shares @ 80.8¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.0K
$528.72
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-11 House seat?
3952 shares @ 95.0¢·now 97.4¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$3.8K
$90.99
- YES
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?
4700 shares @ 77.7¢·now 78.5¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$3.7K
$38.52
- NO
Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?
3660 shares @ 71.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$3.6K
$1.0K
- NO
Will William Azaroff win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
2159 shares @ 67.8¢·now 67.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2026$1.4K
$-15.65
- YES
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?
5909 shares @ 42.7¢·now 23.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.4K
$-1.1K
- NO
US military draft authorized in 2026?
1001 shares @ 81.8¢·now 95.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$952.47
$133.29
- YES
Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?
10558 shares @ 34.4¢·now 8.1¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$849.88
$-2.8K
- NO
Will John Coupar win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
601 shares @ 94.4¢·now 96.9¢·exp Oct 17, 2026$582.76
$14.75
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?$200.93Jul 28, 19:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?$151.07Jul 28, 19:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?$82.69Jul 28, 18:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill PayPal say "Braintree" during earnings call?$913.00Jul 28, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?$20.24Jul 28, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?$1.75Jul 28, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?$72.58Jul 28, 09:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?$3.77Jul 28, 09:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?$26.00Jul 28, 09:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?$21.00Jul 28, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?$19.98Jul 28, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?$12.50Jul 28, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?$6.89Jul 28, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?$10.00Jul 28, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?$5.75Jul 28, 07:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?$62.27Jul 28, 07:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?$78.30Jul 28, 07:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?$66.51Jul 28, 07:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?$7.65Jul 28, 07:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?$26.00Jul 28, 07:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
49/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
77% win rate over 26 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
26 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $152.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 13:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 19:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 26 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.