0x5225c5caafaac5e3653fcf77370b70c8756bae99
0x5225c5caafaac5e3653fcf77370b70c8756bae99
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$194.56
Total PnL
$-81.47
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
2261 shares @ 2.2¢·now 1.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$41.84
$-7.91
- YES
Iran leadership change by May 31?
535 shares @ 6.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$34.74
$2.67
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
201 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$33.08
$1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?
1355 shares @ 3.2¢·now 1.9¢·exp May 10, 2026$25.75
$-17.99
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
682 shares @ 3.5¢·now 2.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$18.76
$-5.12
- YES
Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
1266 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$18.35
$-6.52
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10?
477 shares @ 10.4¢·now 3.7¢·exp May 10, 2026$17.64
$-32.10
- YES
Will Canada send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
879 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.40
$-15.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?$46.704h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10?$52.864h ago
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?$0.004h ago
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 9?$0.004h ago
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 9?$0.004h ago
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 9?$0.004h ago
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 8?$0.002d ago
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 8?$0.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$32.082d ago
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by May 31?$32.072d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Canada send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$19.902d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$24.872d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$49.752d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$24.802d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 9?$5.352d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 9?$5.352d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 9?$37.182d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?$33.962d ago
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?$252.952d ago
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?$13.442d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $34.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 9d ago
- Last active
- 4h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".