Imaginative-Cclamp
0x5231750231e7f3762f75aba9417af020fb5f10a2
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$0.55
Total PnL
$-175.13
Realised
$12.64
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 330m and 340m?
1098 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$0.55
$-0.55
- NO
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?
3 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$0.00
$-0.10
- NO
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?
1196 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.78
- NO
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in July?
800 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.60
- NO
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026?
610 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.26
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
530 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.59
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on May 2?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?$1.14Aug 3, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?$1.47Aug 3, 14:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 340m and 350m?$0.64Aug 3, 12:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 340m and 350m?$0.06Aug 3, 12:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?$0.76Aug 3, 12:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?$1.92Aug 3, 04:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?$0.32Aug 3, 04:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?$5.24Aug 3, 03:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?$0.62Aug 3, 03:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?$1.61Aug 3, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?$5.88Aug 3, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?$4.70Aug 3, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 330m and 340m?$0.00Aug 2, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 330m and 340m?$0.01Aug 2, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 330m and 340m?$0.28Aug 2, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 330m and 340m?$0.05Aug 2, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 330m and 340m?$0.10Aug 2, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 330m and 340m?$0.10Aug 2, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 330m and 340m?$0.26Aug 2, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 330m and 340m?$0.19Aug 2, 12:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
12/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $5.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 30, 03:43 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 3, 14:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.