Plump-Steward
0x524e7b6edcf0de64c66b5f36ab4f9c10234efe92
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?
62294 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.3K
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 28?
26794 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-109.99
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 February 23-March 1?
9334 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
3750 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.50
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 February 23-March 1?
2249 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Abbas Araghchi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
1700 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Nasir Hosseini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
1450 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 February 23-March 1?
1440 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Ali Motahari be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
1261 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will Mohammad-Reza Modarresi Yazdi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
1250 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$10.00Mar 14, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$10.00Mar 14, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$10.00Mar 14, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?$10.68Mar 8, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike seven countries in March?$10.00Mar 5, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternet Access restored in Iran by March 7, 2026?$10.00Mar 5, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abbas Araghchi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$3.00Mar 4, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nasir Hosseini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$2.50Mar 4, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mohammad-Reza Modarresi Yazdi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$2.50Mar 4, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Masoud Pezeshkian be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$2.50Mar 4, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seyed Hossein Mousavian be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$2.50Mar 4, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seyed Hossein Mousavian be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$5.00Mar 4, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ali Asghar Hejazi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$2.50Mar 4, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ali Motahari be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$2.50Mar 4, 19:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $76,000 February 23-March 1?$0.00Mar 2, 21:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $76,000 February 23-March 1?$0.00Mar 2, 21:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $76,000 February 23-March 1?$0.00Mar 2, 21:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran strike Israel on March 2?$0.00Mar 2, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Israel on March 2?$13.00Mar 2, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Israel on March 2?$75.00Mar 2, 17:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $50.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 17:08 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 14, 16:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".