Winding-Mug
0x5254f5c53c2f97c7964f106e870aa8307204891b
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$5.9K
Total PnL
$536.03
Realised
$1.5K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?
1686 shares @ 87.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$1.5K
$42.17
- NO
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
1369 shares @ 75.1¢·now 73.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$999.24
$-28.70
- YES
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
1013 shares @ 74.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$795.46
$45.46
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
2792 shares @ 24.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$460.63
$-209.37
- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in June?
556 shares @ 54.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$297.22
$-2.78
- YES
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
1499 shares @ 16.0¢·now 19.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$284.87
$44.98
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
1500 shares @ 19.5¢·now 18.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$280.50
$-11.77
- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in June?
713 shares @ 39.3¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$260.11
$-19.89
- YES
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in June?
603 shares @ 49.8¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$244.16
$-55.84
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?
679 shares @ 35.6¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$241.12
$-0.88
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?$300.92Jun 2, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?$3.68Jun 2, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?$3.35Jun 2, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?$3.68Jun 2, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?$3.35Jun 2, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?$3.68Jun 2, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?$3.68Jun 2, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?$3.35Jun 2, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?$3.35Jun 2, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?$3.68Jun 2, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?$3.35Jun 2, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in June?$64.69Jun 2, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?$38.50Jun 2, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?$3.68Jun 2, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?$3.35Jun 2, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$10.40Jun 2, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?$3.35Jun 2, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in June?$130.31Jun 2, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?$268.00Jun 2, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in June?$152.69Jun 2, 10:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $219.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 30, 21:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 15:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".