Fond-Cardigan
0x526ef29ed063d19eb847266c1217e4364f7817c9
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$6.12
Total PnL
$-2.31
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$5.88Jun 6, 11:31 UTC
- REDEEMTrump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?$5.57Jun 6, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?$5.50May 18, 06:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$4.97May 18, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$4.98May 13, 15:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 21?$6.02May 13, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 21?$6.01Apr 5, 11:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?$6.01Apr 5, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?$5.90Mar 17, 03:27 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Colombia by March 31?$5.89Mar 17, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Colombia by March 31?$5.75Feb 23, 03:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MUNDO-GB win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?$5.75Feb 23, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MUNDO-GB win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?$5.92Dec 17, 10:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the California redistricting referendum pass by 20-30%?$5.92Dec 17, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the California redistricting referendum pass by 20-30%?$5.89Dec 5, 03:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rocket Lab (RKLB) close above $72 end of November?$5.89Dec 5, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rocket Lab (RKLB) close above $72 end of November?$5.86Nov 9, 01:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 3?$2.06Nov 9, 01:36 UTC
- REDEEMGPT-5 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$3.80Nov 9, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 3?$2.00Nov 1, 05:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $5.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 3, 09:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 11:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.