Extra-Large-Marathon
0x5282587c2e2779b82d82708d8975f9cad40f4e7e
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$3.92
Total PnL
$-503.08
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kazakhstan?
7842 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.92
$-6.08
- YES
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?
1116 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-111.57
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
839 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-73.00
- YES
Iran leadership change by March 31?
556 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-89.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Tyrese Maxey win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?
325 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-26.00
- YES
Will Deni Avdija win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?
323 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- YES
Will the USA Stripes team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?
265 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-82.00
- YES
Will Donovan Mitchell win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?
249 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-14.93
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$1.05May 17, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$1.05May 15, 07:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$5.24May 12, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$5.25May 12, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kazakhstan?$10.00May 6, 19:42 UTC
- REDEEMIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?$338.93May 1, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?$111.57Apr 15, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?$207.87Apr 15, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$10.00Apr 6, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by March 31?$89.00Mar 20, 12:04 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$306.88Feb 28, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?$73.00Feb 27, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$73.65Feb 27, 14:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthony Edwards win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?$144.44Feb 16, 08:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nikola Jokić win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?$2.21Feb 15, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donovan Mitchell win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?$14.93Feb 15, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the USA Stripes team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?$82.00Feb 15, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthony Edwards win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?$13.00Feb 15, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jaylen Brown win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?$15.00Feb 15, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Deni Avdija win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?$18.00Feb 15, 21:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $37.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 30, 20:22 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 09:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".