Tedious-Behavior
0x52bb557d8c9e8ef72dd09275738ead3e2bab0432
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-20.76
Realised
$-0.68
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 14, 2026?
1250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the US strike another country first?
484 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.42
- YES
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 14, 2026?
152 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the US strike Colombia next?
130 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.72
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
4 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.94
Recent activity
- TRADESELLSupreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$9.69Jan 23, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSupreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$10.00Jan 23, 04:34 UTC
- TRADESELLSupreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$2.42Jan 23, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSupreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$2.50Jan 23, 04:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?$0.01Jan 20, 04:19 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$0.01Jan 20, 04:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?$0.01Jan 20, 04:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in January 2026?$0.01Jan 20, 04:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$0.00Jan 20, 04:18 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?$0.00Jan 20, 04:18 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 31?$0.00Jan 20, 04:18 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026?$0.00Jan 20, 04:18 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Cuba by January 31?$0.71Jan 20, 04:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Putin meet next in United States?$3.28Jan 20, 04:12 UTC
- TRADESELLCilia Flores released from custody by January 31, 2026?$3.25Jan 20, 04:12 UTC
- TRADESELLJang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by March 31, 2026?$3.64Jan 20, 04:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike 2 countries in January 2026?$0.21Jan 20, 04:12 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by January 31?$0.75Jan 20, 04:12 UTC
- TRADESELLNATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026?$2.75Jan 20, 04:12 UTC
- TRADESELLX banned in U.K. by March 31?$4.38Jan 20, 04:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 15, 12:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 23, 04:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.