Impartial-Randomisation
0x52c977674cb558b0d41a60a8a43af75325909831
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$69.74
Total PnL
$-41.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
67 shares @ 15.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$66.67
$56.67
- YES
Trump out as President by June 30?
324 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.08
$-16.36
- YES
Trump out as President by April 30?
12199 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-80.34
- YES
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?
53 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by April 30?$0.06Apr 30, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$50.75Apr 23, 13:55 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President before 2027?$50.75Apr 23, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$5.13Apr 14, 15:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$5.14Apr 14, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$5.58Apr 14, 15:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$5.57Apr 12, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$33.92Apr 11, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by April 30?$1.00Apr 11, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US withdraw from NATO by April 30?$1.00Apr 11, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$10.00Apr 11, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$20.00Apr 11, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$5.00Apr 11, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by June 30?$20.00Apr 11, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$5.00Apr 11, 11:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$0.00Apr 8, 08:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$0.00Apr 8, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$13.89Apr 7, 23:04 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$13.90Apr 7, 23:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$0.00Apr 7, 23:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $12.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 22:37 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 30, 21:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.