Shimmering-Meatball
0x5303e1a72ace116afb0ff6cc2d522ac7174c72b0
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$13.65
Total PnL
$-320.53
Realised
$-2.70
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
200 shares @ 3.9¢·now 3.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.70
$-0.10
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
46 shares @ 10.9¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.84
$-0.16
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
5 shares @ 60.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.72
$-2.27
- YES
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.38
$-0.62
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 1?
2860 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-91.99
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
1600 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
329 shares @ 18.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
250 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.50
- YES
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the February decision?
234 shares @ 21.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
170 shares @ 13.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-22.61
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar win on 2026-06-13?$2.06Jun 13, 18:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$6.38Jun 13, 05:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$1.86Jun 12, 20:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$1.91Jun 12, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$1.02Jun 12, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.13Jun 12, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$1.02Jun 12, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$1.02Jun 12, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$1.02Jun 12, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$3.04Jun 12, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$3.05Jun 12, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$3.04Jun 12, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa win on 2026-06-11?$1.03Jun 11, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa win on 2026-06-11?$3.08Jun 11, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 10?$2.00Jun 10, 17:55 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by June 30?$2.87Jun 8, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by June 30?$5.00Jun 8, 07:28 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by June 8?$7.81Jun 8, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 8?$5.00Jun 7, 19:20 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by June 8?$13.60Jun 7, 19:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $5.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 18, 18:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 18:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.