Smug-Stepdaughter
0x531217e27ab2c4c2f9207f3e05f731388c26f274
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$145.61
Total PnL
$-198.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
220 shares @ 25.3¢·now 49.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$107.89
$52.14
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
20 shares @ 55.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$11.70
$0.70
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
40 shares @ 23.4¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$9.42
$0.05
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 45.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$8.10
$-0.90
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
25 shares @ 36.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$7.38
$-1.63
- YES
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$1.07
$0.07
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
15 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.05
$-2.20
- NO
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by June 30?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
414 shares @ 23.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-98.47
- NO
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?
127 shares @ 14.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-18.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$7.98Jun 13, 18:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? AND Will United States win on 2026-06-12?$7.52Jun 13, 05:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? AND Will United States win on 2026-06-12?$1.03Jun 12, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.39Jun 12, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$50.00Jun 12, 04:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$8.25Jun 11, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$0.55Jun 11, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$2.20Jun 11, 07:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?$7.42Jun 10, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?$4.40Jun 10, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?$6.39Jun 10, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?$0.40Jun 10, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?$0.82Jun 10, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?$0.39Jun 10, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?$8.50Jun 10, 18:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?$167.80Jun 9, 17:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $44.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 5, 08:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 18:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.