Busy-Calendar
0x531628dc7ad9fde7f247dde97f1c2553629f4ae5
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$42.00
Total PnL
$-380.12
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
100 shares @ 37.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$41.50
$4.50
- YES
Macron out by June 30, 2026?
200 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.50
$-6.96
- YES
Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?
1000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
555 shares @ 20.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-112.06
- YES
Will Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31?
500 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Nothing Ever Happens: Crypto Edition
500 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?
420 shares @ 15.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-66.20
- NO
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
100 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-29.00
- YES
Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?
40 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.40
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?$20.75Jun 10, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?$2.37Jun 10, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?$3.81Jun 10, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?$9.79Jun 10, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$37.00Apr 30, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$27.83Apr 22, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.17Apr 22, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYMacron out by June 30, 2026?$4.87Apr 8, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYMacron out by June 30, 2026?$0.13Apr 8, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?$2.28Mar 29, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?$0.75Mar 29, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?$14.94Mar 29, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?$86.03Mar 29, 08:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill MicroStrategy announce holding 740k+ BTC by February 28?$0.00Mar 25, 07:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Juventus win the 2025–26 Champions League?$0.00Mar 25, 07:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?$0.00Mar 25, 07:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?$0.00Mar 25, 07:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?$0.00Mar 25, 07:56 UTC
- REDEEMBackpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?$0.00Mar 25, 07:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in February?$0.00Mar 25, 07:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $31.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 17, 15:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 16:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.