Present-Tailspin
0x531ef856aed56350f2c3a7b279624776644735ed
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
81
Open notional
$19.53
Total PnL
$-202.27
Realised
$3.93
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 81- YES
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 5.8¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$11.60
$10.60
- YES
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
333 shares @ 0.6¢·now 1.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.17
$2.17
- YES
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.50
$0.50
- YES
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.42
$0.42
- YES
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.85
$-0.15
- YES
Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31?
3000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will $Hype from the University of Alabama win the MBC Research Competition?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be at least 75%?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 24, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Time announce Person of the Year on December 18 or later?$1.00Dec 10, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Time announce Person of the Year on December 17?$1.00Dec 10, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Time announce Person of the Year on December 17?$1.00Dec 10, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Time announce Person of the Year on December 16?$1.00Dec 10, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Time announce Person of the Year on December 15?$1.00Dec 10, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Time announce Person of the Year on December 11?$1.00Dec 10, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Time announce Person of the Year on December 12?$1.00Dec 10, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Time announce Person of the Year on December 10?$1.00Dec 10, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Time announce Person of the Year on December 12?$1.00Dec 10, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on December 10?$10.00Dec 10, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on December 10?$20.00Dec 10, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on December 10?$10.00Dec 10, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?$1.00Dec 10, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?$1.00Dec 10, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl 2026?$1.00Dec 10, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026?$1.00Dec 10, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mistral AI have the top AI model on December 31?$1.00Dec 10, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.00Dec 10, 13:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $2.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 10, 12:09 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".