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PoliticsMulti-outcomeExpires Nov 23, 2025

Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?

Probability

1h

+0.1pp

24h

-0.2pp

24h Vol

$133.62

Liquidity

$7.4K

Probability (last 7 days)

+1.4pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 07:00Apr 25, 2026, 01:47
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 01:47Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    LOW
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventGuinea-Bissau National People's Assembly Election Winner
Category · Politics

Market Description

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau. If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Nov 23, 2025
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • Wide spread (5.2¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

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