Disguised-Sigh
0x533ac6cc23679c4689570419eec5a971b1631d7d
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$60.93
Total PnL
$-11.02
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
19 shares @ 31.0¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$19.02
$13.02
- YES
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
14 shares @ 69.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$14.43
$4.43
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
6 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$6.25
$1.25
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
6 shares @ 85.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$5.88
$0.88
- NO
Trump out as President by April 30?
5 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$5.07
$0.07
- YES
Will NVIDIA reach $200 in April?
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$2.50
$1.50
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.26
$0.26
- YES
Will NVIDIA reach $192 in April?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$1.25
$0.25
- YES
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.25
$0.25
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 12?
1 shares @ 87.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.14
$0.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.00Apr 12, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.00Apr 12, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.00Apr 12, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends on April 11, 2026?$1.00Apr 12, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends on April 10, 2026?$1.00Apr 12, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$10.00Apr 12, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA reach $192 in April?$1.00Apr 11, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA reach $200 in April?$1.00Apr 11, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA reach $192 in April?$1.00Apr 11, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?$1.00Apr 11, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?$1.00Apr 11, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 12?$1.00Apr 11, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 12?$1.00Apr 11, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 12?$1.00Apr 11, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 12?$1.00Apr 11, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$5.00Apr 11, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$5.00Apr 11, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.00Apr 11, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.00Apr 11, 10:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$8.22Apr 11, 10:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $4.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 11, 09:22 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 12, 15:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.