Trained-Mantle
0x53437cea0e947bfe8014604a610f03d25c350b0f
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
45
Open notional
$111.00
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$-40.34
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- NO
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
200 shares @ 76.5¢·now 55.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$111.00
$-42.00
- YES
Will Penske Automotive Group (PAG) beat quarterly earnings?
520 shares @ 74.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-387.50
- YES
Will Verizon Communications (VZ) beat quarterly earnings?
250 shares @ 70.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-175.20
- YES
Will Meta Platforms (META) beat quarterly earnings?
184 shares @ 89.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-165.20
- YES
Will CoStar Group (CSGP) beat quarterly earnings?
150 shares @ 54.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-81.60
- YES
Will Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) beat quarterly earnings?
105 shares @ 79.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-83.53
- YES
Will Williams Companies (WMB) beat quarterly earnings?
100 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-64.00
- YES
Will Grab Holdings (GRAB) beat quarterly earnings?
100 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-63.99
- YES
Will Carvana (CVNA) beat quarterly earnings?
80 shares @ 86.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-69.20
- YES
Will Blackstone (BX) beat quarterly earnings?
60 shares @ 63.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-38.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?$4.07Feb 5, 23:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?$2.00Feb 4, 20:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?$2.83Feb 4, 13:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$18.96Feb 4, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?$63.00Feb 2, 03:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy in 2025?$25.61Jan 7, 23:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$200.00Jan 7, 23:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?$50.00Dec 10, 07:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MicroStrategy be forced to liquidate Bitcoin holdings in 2025?$6.20Dec 9, 06:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MicroStrategy be forced to liquidate Bitcoin holdings in 2025?$21.26Dec 4, 05:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dell Technologies (DELL) beat quarterly earnings?$10.00Nov 27, 04:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Burlington Stores (BURL) beat quarterly earnings?$10.00Nov 27, 04:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kohls (KSS) beat quarterly earnings?$20.00Nov 27, 04:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Woodward (WWD) beat quarterly earnings?$10.00Nov 26, 01:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?$10.00Nov 22, 14:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Walmart (WMT) beat quarterly earnings?$10.00Nov 22, 14:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?$20.00Nov 22, 14:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Williams-Sonoma (WSM) beat quarterly earnings?$10.00Nov 20, 01:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bullish (BLSH) beat quarterly earnings?$10.00Nov 20, 01:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill DeFi Technologies (DEFT) beat quarterly earnings?$10.00Nov 15, 01:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $12.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 8, 07:08 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 5, 23:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".