Bony-Novel
0x53515560de479cb8bec53a517bcd9fb2f66dc7ed
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
79
Open notional
$9.5K
Total PnL
$-6.8K
Realised
$1.3K
Win rate
76%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 79- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
1800 shares @ 92.7¢·now 92.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.7K
$0.00
- NO
Waymo IPO before 2027?
905 shares @ 85.7¢·now 94.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$856.86
$81.15
- NO
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
866 shares @ 80.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$770.87
$78.14
- YES
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
3640 shares @ 47.5¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$746.12
$-983.55
- YES
Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?
607 shares @ 49.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$606.78
$306.79
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
719 shares @ 76.7¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$571.98
$19.99
- NO
AI bubble burst in 2026?
600 shares @ 78.9¢·now 79.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$476.66
$2.76
- YES
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?
10415 shares @ 8.8¢·now 4.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$468.66
$-444.36
- YES
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?
450 shares @ 87.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$450.00
$54.80
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
520 shares @ 83.4¢·now 85.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$445.82
$11.97
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?$48.00Jun 13, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026?$218.49Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$0.15Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$453.54Jun 12, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by July 31, 2026?$101.64Jun 12, 20:27 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$27.31Jun 12, 19:55 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$5.34Jun 12, 19:55 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$4.88Jun 12, 19:55 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$4.88Jun 12, 19:55 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$4.87Jun 12, 19:55 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$9.90Jun 12, 19:55 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$4.95Jun 12, 19:55 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$36.78Jun 12, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$80.44Jun 12, 19:44 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?$74.21Jun 12, 19:24 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?$4.05Jun 12, 19:23 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?$2.73Jun 12, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026?$9.67Jun 12, 19:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?$10.88Jun 12, 19:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $53.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 21:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 15:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.