0x5353cfa5c8fa59b1045ec84460f14ef651c7738a
0x5353cfa5c8fa59b1045ec84460f14ef651c7738a
Wallet digest
Activity score
34/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$1.48
Total PnL
$-19.07
Realised
$-2.68
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 4?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.11
$0.04
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026?
4 shares @ 26.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.37
$-0.69
- YES
Will the US strike Syria next?
1040 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.08
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11AM ET
63 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.09
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
52 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.21
- YES
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?
26 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.09
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 12?
19 shares @ 27.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.21
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
6 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.06
- NO
Will the US strike Somalia next?
4 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 4?$1.07Mar 3, 23:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?$0.90Mar 3, 23:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?$0.07Mar 3, 23:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?$0.07Mar 3, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?$1.07Mar 3, 23:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?$0.91Mar 3, 23:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?$0.07Mar 3, 23:06 UTC
- TRADESELLIran coup attempt by June 30?$0.44Mar 3, 22:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?$0.08Mar 3, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?$1.07Mar 3, 21:20 UTC
- TRADESELLIran coup attempt by June 30?$0.42Mar 3, 21:17 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?$0.01Feb 28, 11:43 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$0.94Feb 21, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$1.05Feb 21, 01:53 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$0.94Feb 21, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$1.05Feb 21, 01:51 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$0.85Feb 21, 01:51 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$0.02Feb 21, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$1.07Feb 18, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$1.07Feb 18, 01:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
14/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 12, 03:29 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 3, 23:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.