Marvelous-Plantation
0x53869fe787b55585942078a3f72b7ec8aad581b0
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$3.71
Total PnL
$-7.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will RadarScope be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on June 19?
3 shares @ 99.6¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$2.64
$-0.04
- NO
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.07
$-0.00
- NO
Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?
6 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
3 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.78
- NO
Will Bill Ackman say "Fannie" 20+ times during the X Space event on November 18?
2 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.05
- YES
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will Morgan Wallen win Entertainer of the Year at the 59th annual CMA Awards?
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.07Jun 14, 01:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.15Jun 14, 01:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?$1.15Jun 14, 01:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?$1.18Jun 14, 01:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 March 23-29?$1.25Jun 14, 01:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 16°C or below on April 30?$1.27Jun 14, 01:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Svitle by May 31?$1.34Jun 14, 01:12 UTC
- REDEEMAnother Iranian diplomat expelled by April 30?$1.54Jun 14, 01:12 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$1.80Jun 14, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RadarScope be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on June 19?$1.34Jun 14, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RadarScope be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on June 19?$1.34Jun 14, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Svitle by May 31?$1.34May 31, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?$1.14May 9, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother Iranian diplomat expelled by April 30?$1.51Apr 30, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.15Apr 29, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 16°C or below on April 30?$1.27Apr 29, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?$1.18Apr 15, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 March 23-29?$1.25Mar 28, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$1.80Dec 30, 01:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Tariff" 13+ times during December press conference?$2.50Dec 30, 01:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $9.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 13, 02:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 01:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.