Shoddy-Moat
0x53c992557d6cd7fca7c66186be5444e0cbec2fb4
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$27.83
Total PnL
$-23.17
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
16 shares @ 91.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 15, 2026$16.44
$1.44
- YES
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.16
$0.16
- NO
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
5 shares @ 63.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.26
$0.26
- NO
AI data center in space by December 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 93.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$2.97
$-0.03
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
143 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 94.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$66.81May 15, 10:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.00May 15, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$21.20May 15, 06:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$0.00May 15, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$715.33May 15, 06:33 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$768.23May 15, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$506.60May 15, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$337.97May 15, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$135.52May 15, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.00May 15, 06:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$469.66May 15, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$470.33May 15, 05:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?$473.31May 15, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYAI data center in space by December 31, 2026?$3.01May 14, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?$470.34May 14, 18:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$479.50May 14, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$480.00May 14, 09:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$478.50May 14, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$480.33May 14, 05:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$481.42May 13, 18:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $373.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 06:19 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 10:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".