0x53da324a69637bea7161311a03aa6aa8b038995a
0x53da324a69637bea7161311a03aa6aa8b038995a
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$44.38
Total PnL
$-395.62
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
333 shares @ 6.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$18.33
$-1.67
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
191 shares @ 14.6¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.16
$-9.84
- YES
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
100 shares @ 19.0¢·now 4.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.10
$-14.90
- YES
Netanyahu out by June 30?
250 shares @ 16.0¢·now 1.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.00
$-37.00
- YES
Anthropic CEO arrested?
83 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.79
$-4.21
- YES
Will the US strike Iran next?
536 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
US strike on Cuba by March 31?
493 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-39.50
- YES
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by March 31?
350 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
262 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Khamenei seen in public by March 14?
226 shares @ 12.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-29.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$8.61Jun 13, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$21.55Jun 13, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?$20.00Apr 12, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$38.50Apr 5, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Vance" or "Rubio" during Address to the Nation?$18.00Apr 1, 20:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$108.96Mar 30, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$57.40Mar 27, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$19.00Mar 27, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by March 31?$15.50Mar 17, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$48.00Mar 15, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by June 30?$40.00Mar 15, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?$10.00Mar 7, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by March 31?$24.00Mar 6, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYCongress passes Iran war powers resolution by March 31?$14.00Mar 5, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$20.00Feb 28, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei seen in public by March 14?$29.00Feb 28, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Iran next?$15.00Feb 28, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnthropic CEO arrested?$5.00Feb 28, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran Strike on Israel by February 28?$10.00Feb 28, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$20.00Feb 28, 14:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $25.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 16, 18:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 07:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.