0x540bc5be91105abefde2bc6bf13fae8d068cb500
0x540bc5be91105abefde2bc6bf13fae8d068cb500
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$46.71
Total PnL
$0.64
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
7 shares @ 76.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$6.42
$1.42
- YES
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
6 shares @ 80.0¢·now 96.4¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$6.02
$1.02
- NO
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
6 shares @ 50.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$5.80
$2.87
- YES
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?
6 shares @ 77.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$4.84
$-0.16
- YES
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
11 shares @ 47.0¢·now 44.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$4.68
$-0.32
- NO
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
12 shares @ 34.0¢·now 37.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$4.55
$0.37
- NO
Will the Green Party win at least 900 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
5 shares @ 84.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp May 7, 2026$4.07
$-0.13
- NO
Will the Green Party win at least 800 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
5 shares @ 74.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$3.90
$0.20
- NO
Will the Green Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
7 shares @ 54.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp May 7, 2026$3.28
$-0.30
- NO
Will the Conservative Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
6 shares @ 55.0¢·now 37.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$2.38
$-1.16
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Conservative Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$3.601d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Green Party win at least 900 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$4.231d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Green Party win at least 800 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$3.741d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Conservative Party win at least 400 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$4.042d ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "NATO" during King Charles visit?$0.002d ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Transgender" this week? (April 27 - May 3)$0.002d ago
- REDEEMTrump re-sues WSJ by April 27?$0.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Green Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$3.653d ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "NATO" during King Charles visit?$0.003d ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Transgender" this week? (April 27 - May 3)$0.003d ago
- REDEEMTrump re-sues WSJ by April 27?$0.003d ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "NATO" during King Charles visit?$0.003d ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Transgender" this week? (April 27 - May 3)$0.003d ago
- REDEEMTrump re-sues WSJ by April 27?$0.003d ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "NATO" during King Charles visit?$0.004d ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Transgender" this week? (April 27 - May 3)$0.004d ago
- REDEEMTrump re-sues WSJ by April 27?$0.004d ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "NATO" during King Charles visit?$0.004d ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Transgender" this week? (April 27 - May 3)$0.004d ago
- REDEEMTrump re-sues WSJ by April 27?$0.004d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $3.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 27d ago
- Last active
- 1d ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
