Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
Probability
50¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$75.68
Liquidity
$46.7K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 01:08SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 50¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 50¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 50¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 50¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 50¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Venezuelan presidential election is scheduled by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030. This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuelan presidential election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Mar 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
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