Blue-Cashew
0x540eff5495f3434efee40b0662d4275afbb028b6
Wallet digest
Activity score
32/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
108
Open notional
$0.50
Total PnL
$-493.75
Realised
$-8.14
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 108- YES
Will Bill Cassidy be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
19 shares @ 8.0¢·now 2.6¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.50
$-1.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C or below on April 19?
4750 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-4.75
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
4750 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.75
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 22°C or below on April 19?
4750 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-4.75
- YES
Will Zelenskyy post 20-39 posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
4750 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-4.75
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
4750 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-4.75
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 21°C or below on April 19?
1459 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.92
- YES
Trump out as President by April 30?
1000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $62,000 on April 20?
928 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.64
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 18?
928 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.64
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Encore Medical’s market cap be greater than $55M at market close on IPO day?$0.58May 7, 03:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ras Baraka win the Newark mayoral election?$0.94May 7, 03:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Encore Medical’s market cap be greater than $55M at market close on IPO day?$0.46May 7, 03:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$0.87May 7, 03:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Norway be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$2.13May 7, 03:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bill Cassidy be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?$1.65May 7, 03:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$1.90May 7, 03:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$4.25May 7, 03:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ras Baraka win the Newark mayoral election?$0.36May 7, 03:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Encore Medical’s market cap be greater than $55M at market close on IPO day?$0.21May 7, 03:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill annual inflation increase by ≤3.1% in April?$1.04May 7, 03:47 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?$1.48May 7, 03:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Azerbaijan be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$1.90May 7, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,700 April 20-26?$0.42Apr 22, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of April 20 2026?$5.04Apr 22, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?$5.00Apr 22, 04:02 UTC
- REWARD$1.74Apr 22, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?$4.05Apr 22, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?$0.11Apr 22, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?$0.88Apr 22, 02:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 21, 10:41 UTC
- Last active
- May 7, 03:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.