Parallel-Transparency
0x5415c298dde8c84f4ba726d36b411df6e9a72a6e
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$40.4K
Total PnL
$-264.49
Realised
$19.00
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
40000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 81.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$32.5K
$12.5K
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
40000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.5K
$-12.5K
- YES
Will Trump say "Stock Market" during remarks in Las Vegas?
253 shares @ 83.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$221.38
$11.38
- YES
Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?
238 shares @ 41.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$98.79
$1.19
- NO
Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?
131 shares @ 59.7¢·now 62.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$81.00
$3.01
- YES
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during remarks in Las Vegas?
90 shares @ 14.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$12.15
$-0.45
- YES
Will Warsh say "Projection" during July Press Conference?
194 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.00
$-77.40
- NO
Will Trump say "Fraud" during remarks in Georgia?
110 shares @ 43.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-48.24
- NO
Will Trump say "Transgender" during cabinet meeting?
82 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-31.96
- NO
Will Trump say "Patriot" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
68 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-20.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Stock Market" during remarks in Las Vegas?$83.56Aug 4, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Stock Market" during remarks in Las Vegas?$127.85Aug 4, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?$100.48Aug 4, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Six Seven" during remarks in Las Vegas?$13.03Aug 4, 12:48 UTC
- YIELD$3.56Aug 4, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Six Seven" this week?$19.38Aug 3, 19:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Six Seven" this week?$2.38Aug 3, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Six Seven" this week?$62.18Aug 3, 11:09 UTC
- YIELD$3.56Aug 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$3.56Aug 2, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Snake" in July?$3.15Aug 1, 13:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Snake" in July?$14.51Aug 1, 13:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Snake" in July?$7.29Aug 1, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Snake" in July?$1.69Aug 1, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Snake" in July?$15.49Aug 1, 12:37 UTC
- YIELD$3.56Aug 1, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$1.44Aug 1, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" or "Israel" 10+ times during cabinet meeting?$303.74Jul 31, 18:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Filibuster" during cabinet meeting?$279.12Jul 31, 17:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Filibuster" during cabinet meeting?$20.18Jul 31, 17:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$27.9K
Trades
1
Buy share
100%
Window
Jun 3, 06:40 UTC → Jun 3, 06:34 UTC
- BUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$27.9K@100¢Jun 3, 06:34 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
25/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
60% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
$27.9K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $68.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 29, 18:05 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 4, 14:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.