Testy-Cemetery-Recognition
0x543493456d600d94e57b729bc6b9cf28d4e0654b
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$59.84
Total PnL
$-2.63
Realised
$0.98
Win rate
70%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on August 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 11.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$2.45
$1.35
- YES
Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
10 shares @ 6.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.80
$1.20
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
20 shares @ 9.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.70
$-0.10
- YES
Will Gears of War: E-Day win Best Game Direction at the 2026 Game Awards?
10 shares @ 5.0¢·now 17.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2026$1.70
$1.20
- YES
Will the Ecologist Green Party of Mexico (PVEM) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?
20 shares @ 8.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2027$1.40
$-0.20
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-12 House seat?
20 shares @ 7.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.30
$-0.10
- YES
Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the NY-18 House seat?
10 shares @ 9.3¢·now 9.3¢·exp Nov 4, 2026$0.93
$-0.00
- YES
Will Project Hail Mary get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
20 shares @ 4.7¢·now 4.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2027$0.90
$-0.04
- YES
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.90
$-0.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$0.19Aug 7, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yabloko win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$0.15Aug 7, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CPRF win the next Orenburg Oblast Parliament elections?$0.06Aug 7, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.06Aug 7, 14:11 UTC
- TRADESELLChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$0.72Aug 7, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?$0.08Aug 7, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?$0.21Aug 7, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out before 2027?$0.44Aug 7, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?$0.34Aug 7, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?$0.10Aug 7, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.29Aug 7, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthony Garotinho win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?$0.07Aug 7, 13:54 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by August 31?$0.69Aug 7, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sean Duffy be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?$0.11Aug 7, 13:47 UTC
- TRADESELLPutin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?$0.11Aug 7, 13:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?$1.10Aug 7, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$0.05Aug 7, 13:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.06Aug 7, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran Nuke before 2027?$0.59Aug 7, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the LA-06 House seat?$0.70Aug 7, 13:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
70% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 32/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 7, 11:08 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 7, 14:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.