Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?

1. 1

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Expires in 5985h with open resolution ambiguity.

2. 2

   Thin liquidity

   Only $19.1k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tim Walz announces he has resigned or will resign as Governor of Minnesota by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If it becomes impossible for Tim Walz to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Tim Walz announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government or the government of Minnesota; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.