Distorted-Eyeball
0x5449b0600646a082efb52e757da63f5212548db9
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
43
Open notional
$203.97
Total PnL
$-266.64
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on July 24?
205 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$203.97
$0.61
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on November 22?
284 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
282 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-2.89
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on November 19?
281 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-3.42
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on December 1?
275 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.65
- YES
Will the price of XRP be less than $2.10 on November 17?
274 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.37
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $98,000 and $100,000 on November 16?
271 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-4.87
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on November 29?
268 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.34
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on December 9?
266 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-5.86
- YES
Will XRP reach $2.60 November 3-9?
265 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-3.71
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on July 24?$203.36Jul 23, 19:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on June 4?$52.96Jul 23, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 12?$2.23Jul 11, 18:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 5?$200.00Jul 4, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 5?$2.99Jun 4, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on June 4?$50.42Jun 4, 03:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 25-31?$55.24Jun 4, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 25-31?$52.75May 31, 10:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 22?$46.39May 24, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 22?$44.16May 21, 19:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 13?$46.22May 14, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 13?$8.28May 13, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 13?$7.99May 13, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 13?$11.34May 13, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 13?$16.07May 13, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 12?$2.00May 11, 17:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $80 on April 15?$43.10Apr 30, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on April 15?$41.46Apr 14, 23:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on December 5?$0.00Apr 14, 05:52 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down on March 30?$46.87Apr 6, 09:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $27.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 23, 23:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 19:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.