Knobby-Napkin
0x5456012ba428784bfdc458aa03d9d37cba27f26c
active
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$264.46
Total PnL
$-215.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Canva IPO before 2027?
285 shares @ 70.1¢·now 76.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$216.91
$16.91
- YES
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?
151 shares @ 33.1¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$47.55
$-2.44
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
233 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?
140 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-60.00
- NO
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?
133 shares @ 37.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
41 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-19.69
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$20.0080d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?$50.0080d ago
- TRADEBUYWill no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?$50.0080d ago
- TRADEBUYCanva IPO before 2027?$200.0080d ago
- REDEEMWill Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?$0.00287d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?$51.00289d ago
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $2k or $3k first?$181.82289d ago
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down on July 7?$0.00294d ago
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on July 7?$50.00294d ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during his 4th of July remarks?$0.00296d ago
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before August?$48.66296d ago
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?$53.33296d ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" during his 4th of July remarks?$0.00296d ago
- TRADESELLTesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?$115.91298d ago
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire before July? $0.00299d ago
- TRADESELLWill Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?$133.52299d ago
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire before July? $0.00299d ago
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire before July? $100.00299d ago
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?$40.00299d ago
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before August?$40.00299d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $96.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 332d ago
- Last active
- 80d ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.