Altruistic-Billing
0x546ccbc06b013802f6ce05c19d9a4d27af614d99
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$186.90
Total PnL
$-10.7K
Realised
$8.45
Win rate
70%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
309 shares @ 39.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$186.90
$66.42
- SPARTA
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs WW Team (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
1947 shares @ 69.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
1916 shares @ 26.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-505.94
- YES
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?
1574 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-299.00
- JAZZ
Nuggets vs. Jazz
1266 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-645.68
- YES
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-21?
1263 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-517.97
- YES
Will The Secret Agent win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
1250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
1152 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-70.87
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
1143 shares @ 50.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-580.31
- NO
North Korea missile test/launch by March 31?
1033 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$353.82Jul 20, 01:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 16, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 10, 00:14 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$10.00Jul 9, 21:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 8, 00:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 7, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 6, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 5, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 4, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
70% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $13.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 2, 11:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.