Severe-Measurement
0x5484c900bbc2f96b385c805eed627421349f92e0
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$3.62
Total PnL
$-6.38
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$1.96
$0.96
- YES
US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?
1 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 33.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.64
$-0.36
- YES
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
3 shares @ 32.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Jim Gavin win the Irish Presidential Election?
2 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
French election called by October 17?
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "China" during the State of the Union address?
1 shares @ 93.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "China" during the State of the Union address?$1.00Feb 17, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?$1.00Feb 17, 06:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping in October?$1.00Feb 17, 06:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?$1.05Feb 17, 06:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$1.08Feb 17, 06:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?$1.10Feb 17, 06:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?$1.39Feb 17, 06:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?$2.13Feb 17, 06:56 UTC
- REDEEMTikTok sale announced in 2025?$2.33Feb 17, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$1.00Oct 29, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping in October?$1.00Oct 29, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?$1.00Oct 9, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?$1.00Oct 9, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYTikTok sale announced in 2025?$1.00Oct 8, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrench election called by October 17?$1.00Oct 8, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?$1.00Oct 8, 02:08 UTC
- REDEEMAndy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?$10.00Sep 19, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?$1.00Sep 19, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.00Sep 19, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jim Gavin win the Irish Presidential Election?$1.00Sep 19, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $134.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 11, 09:45 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 17, 06:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.