Round-Daddy
0x5489eab7ce59ed634582b921a71203c270081633
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
68
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-5.8K
Realised
$-109.62
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 68- YES
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
1139 shares @ 43.9¢·now 45.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$518.41
$18.41
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1421 shares @ 24.6¢·now 20.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$292.09
$-57.91
- NO
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
543 shares @ 46.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jan 20, 2029$176.54
$-73.46
- YES
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
4054 shares @ 3.7¢·now 4.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$164.19
$14.19
- YES
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
7143 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$46.43
$-53.56
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.87
$-0.18
- NO
Trump kiss by May 31?
120000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-120.00
- SPURS
Knicks vs. Spurs
751 shares @ 47.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-360.00
- TEAM VITALITY
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner
556 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- SPURS
Knicks vs. Spurs
546 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-300.35
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.09Jul 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 4, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 3, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 2, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 1, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 30, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 27, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jun 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jun 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jun 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jun 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jun 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jun 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jun 20, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jun 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jun 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jun 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jun 16, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
18 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $173.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 00:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 5, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.