Round-Daddy
0x5489eab7ce59ed634582b921a71203c270081633
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
80
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-6.1K
Realised
$-319.60
Win rate
3%
63 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 80- YES
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
1139 shares @ 43.9¢·now 48.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$552.59
$52.59
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1421 shares @ 24.6¢·now 15.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$226.00
$-124.00
- YES
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
4054 shares @ 3.7¢·now 5.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$212.84
$62.84
- NO
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
543 shares @ 46.0¢·now 28.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2029$152.09
$-97.91
- YES
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
7143 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$39.29
$-60.71
- YES
Will Betty Gilpin – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series?
45 shares @ 38.6¢·now 43.0¢·exp Sep 14, 2026$19.37
$1.99
- NO
Will Betty Gilpin – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series?
20 shares @ 59.6¢·now 57.0¢·exp Sep 14, 2026$11.39
$-0.53
- NO
Will Katherine LaNasa – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series?
40 shares @ 48.5¢·now 25.5¢·exp Sep 14, 2026$10.20
$-9.20
- YES
Will Melody Morris win Big Brother season 28?
40 shares @ 20.8¢·now 4.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$1.60
$-6.74
- YES
Will Ayo Edebiri – “The Bear” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series?
40 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Sep 14, 2026$0.12
$-7.48
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.09Aug 20, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Aug 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Aug 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Aug 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Aug 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Aug 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Aug 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Aug 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Aug 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Aug 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Aug 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Aug 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Aug 8, 00:12 UTC
- REWARD$9.26Aug 7, 20:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Aug 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Aug 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Aug 5, 02:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Aug 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Aug 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Aug 2, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
61/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
3% win rate over 63 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
8 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
63 closed markets, 3% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $2.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 12, 03:46 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 20, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 63 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.