Babyish-Latter
0x549436e44ea706e3acffb03a95c55b06369485fe
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$1.8K
Total PnL
$-3.3K
Realised
$259.55
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
12000 shares @ 9.2¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.0K
$-89.81
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?
7780 shares @ 13.4¢·now 2.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$221.73
$-822.40
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?
6973 shares @ 10.7¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$170.83
$-572.59
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
2100 shares @ 9.9¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$115.50
$-91.83
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?
3183 shares @ 9.5¢·now 2.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$74.81
$-227.60
- YES
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?
500 shares @ 14.0¢·now 14.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$70.00
$0.00
- YES
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
369 shares @ 16.2¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$57.23
$-2.75
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?
2766 shares @ 5.6¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$44.25
$-110.66
- YES
Fed abolished before 2027?
1434 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.62
$-92.74
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?
318 shares @ 4.8¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$8.08
$-7.35
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$90.00Jul 28, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$90.00Jul 28, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?$72.41Jul 28, 09:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 27, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 24, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 23, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 21, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 20, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 15, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 12, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
14/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
80% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $27.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 5, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 12:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.