0x54a347915725e27503280f629f2ba40a096d102c
0x54a347915725e27503280f629f2ba40a096d102c
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$33.86
Total PnL
$136.72
Realised
$134.50
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
15 shares @ 36.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$15.17
$9.66
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
14 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$13.63
$0.03
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 28, 11PM ET
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$5.06
$4.05
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 28, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
25 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.76
- YES
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
- UP
XRP Up or Down - December 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
13 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-6.57
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 29, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
6 shares @ 36.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.19
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Feb 3, 00:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$0.90Feb 2, 20:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.20Feb 2, 20:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$3.98Feb 2, 18:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?$2.13Feb 2, 18:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Winnipeg Jets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$1.06Feb 2, 18:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$0.95Feb 2, 18:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?$0.34Feb 2, 18:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.98Feb 2, 18:03 UTC
- TRADESELL2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$3.10Feb 2, 18:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill TreVeyon Henderson win the Super Bowl LX MVP?$1.06Feb 2, 18:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$15.01Feb 2, 18:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$1.75Feb 2, 18:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.13Feb 2, 18:03 UTC
- TRADESELL2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House$1.91Feb 2, 18:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Florida Panthers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$0.35Feb 2, 18:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hunter Henry win the Super Bowl LX MVP?$1.97Feb 2, 18:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$6.40Feb 2, 18:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$1.70Feb 2, 18:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$1.81Feb 2, 18:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $3.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 2, 13:05 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 3, 00:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.