Smug-Stimulation
0x54a51bfc0cde247b2148b420ad9efeafa95fd72b
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$14.75
Total PnL
$-3.4K
Realised
$-42.58
Win rate
46%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
100 shares @ 11.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$7.50
$-3.50
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
500 shares @ 5.0¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.25
$-17.75
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
980 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-9.80
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
961 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-9.61
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
951 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-9.51
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 2, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
878 shares @ 56.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-500.04
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 1, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
365 shares @ 35.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-130.82
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 2, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
358 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-161.16
- UP
Solana Up or Down - March 25, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
295 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-14.29
- UP
XRP Up or Down - March 25, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
259 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-13.46
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$2.74Jun 4, 11:57 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - June 4, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$5.30Jun 4, 11:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$5.29Jun 4, 11:50 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - June 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$5.19Jun 4, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$2.74Jun 4, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$2.79Jun 4, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$2.79Jun 4, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 4, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$2.74Jun 4, 11:43 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - June 4, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$5.29Jun 4, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 4, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$2.74Jun 4, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$2.79Jun 4, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$2.79Jun 4, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 4, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$2.79Jun 4, 11:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$5.29Jun 4, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$2.79Jun 4, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$2.79Jun 4, 11:09 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - June 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$5.28Jun 4, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - June 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$2.89Jun 4, 10:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$10.60Jun 4, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$2.94Jun 4, 10:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $2.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 03:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 11:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".