Equatorial-Textual
0x54a78f8c6e64572111c5683a9efeed25a04c881b
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
46
Open notional
$39.8K
Total PnL
$-25.0K
Realised
$-9.4K
Win rate
61%
31 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- $60
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?
8305 shares @ 91.5¢·now 78.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.5K
$-1.1K
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
6208 shares @ 93.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.9K
$92.97
- NO
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?
4799 shares @ 96.2¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.8K
$148.32
- NO
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?
7284 shares @ 68.6¢·now 63.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2027$4.6K
$-408.71
- NO
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?
4256 shares @ 96.9¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.2K
$70.99
- NO
Will a European country take military action on Iran by July 31?
3595 shares @ 95.8¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.6K
$114.94
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
2145 shares @ 96.4¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.0K
$-31.87
- NO
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?
1907 shares @ 94.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.8K
$-28.76
- NO
Will Netanyahu wear a Yarmulke at next meeting with Trump?
1754 shares @ 96.2¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.7K
$52.80
- NO
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?
2000 shares @ 79.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.6K
$-30.00
Recent activity
- REWARD$184.18Jul 29, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLIran invades Kuwait by August 31?$1.1KJul 28, 22:32 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by September 30?$1.8KJul 28, 22:29 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by September 30?$4.90Jul 28, 22:29 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$91.36Jul 28, 22:26 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$3.6KJul 28, 22:26 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?$1.5KJul 28, 22:25 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?$76.34Jul 28, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by September 30?$838.36Jul 28, 22:19 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?$18.90Jul 28, 22:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$1.3KJul 28, 22:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$81.93Jul 28, 22:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$175.50Jul 28, 22:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$150.00Jul 28, 22:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.99Jul 28, 22:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$2.5KJul 28, 22:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$19.99Jul 28, 22:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$164.45Jul 28, 22:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$5.00Jul 28, 22:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$10.00Jul 28, 22:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
53/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
61% win rate over 31 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 2 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
31 closed markets, 61% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
59%
Sample
low
2 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will Oman send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
$9.7K · 59% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $624.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 21:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 31 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.