Ornery-Load
0x54b0804b17c2130d01251b70b6557a1113be755d
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$106.50
Total PnL
$-364.51
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
1200 shares @ 8.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$90.00
$-6.00
- YES
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
110 shares @ 41.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$16.50
$-28.60
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.20 on January 13?
39999 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
2350 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-54.59
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
550 shares @ 23.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-127.50
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
150 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-19.50
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on February 21?
100 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-4.50
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
100 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-8.00
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on February 28?
100 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 13?
100 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEbola case in the US by June 30?$45.10May 27, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYEbola pandemic in 2026?$100.42May 26, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$40.00Apr 19, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$72.33Apr 18, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$15.16Apr 17, 21:21 UTC
- TRADESELLIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$26.30Apr 8, 22:03 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$249.91Apr 8, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$41.01Mar 25, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$12.96Mar 25, 18:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 21?$39.99Mar 25, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$12.50Mar 21, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?$3.50Mar 21, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 21?$38.96Mar 21, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?$6.50Mar 21, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$10.00Mar 21, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$8.00Mar 21, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$23.00Mar 21, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?$13.00Mar 21, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 14?$0.12Mar 15, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 14?$0.30Mar 15, 02:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $20.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 06:49 UTC
- Last active
- May 27, 02:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.