Delirious-Principle
0x54cbe4f351786c398f7e217b8961aa986310b1c1
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$10.22
Total PnL
$-13.39
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
5 shares @ 41.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.77
$2.77
- NO
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
3 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$3.23
$1.23
- YES
Will Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
2 shares @ 45.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$2.22
$1.22
- NO
Houthi strike on Israel by August 31?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Taylor Swift announce a new song today?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on September 30?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?
9 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?
7 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - August 12, 6AM ET
6 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2025$0.00
$-3.61
- YES
Will José Antonio Kast win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
4 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Diddy be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?$1.56Oct 10, 10:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Xavier Suarez win the 2025 Miami mayoral election?$0.96Sep 18, 13:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eileen Higgins win the 2025 Miami mayoral election?$2.35Sep 18, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xavier Suarez win the 2025 Miami mayoral election?$2.00Aug 26, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eileen Higgins win the 2025 Miami mayoral election?$3.00Aug 26, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.00Aug 26, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill A Minecraft Movie be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?$1.00Aug 26, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.00Aug 26, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouthi strike on Israel by August 31?$1.00Aug 26, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouthi strike on Israel by August 31?$1.00Aug 26, 22:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?$1.78Aug 26, 22:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?$1.79Aug 26, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$1.00Aug 24, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$2.00Aug 24, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?$2.00Aug 24, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?$2.00Aug 24, 07:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.87Aug 24, 07:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$3.13Aug 24, 07:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no leader be out in 2025?$1.32Aug 24, 07:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?$0.44Aug 24, 07:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $1.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 12, 10:03 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 10, 10:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.