Sparse-Traffic
0x54e15a0a77e3147ac78831804e5dde13cb589d5a
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$18.8K
Total PnL
$15.5K
Realised
$1.7K
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?
16054 shares @ 15.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.0K
$12.6K
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
6469 shares @ 17.4¢·now 16.0¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$1.0K
$-91.10
- YES
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?
5039 shares @ 13.0¢·now 18.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$954.84
$301.62
- NO
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?
839 shares @ 45.2¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$658.70
$279.26
- YES
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?
1663 shares @ 10.5¢·now 33.1¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$549.53
$375.19
- YES
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
1647 shares @ 2.6¢·now 16.2¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$266.76
$223.64
- YES
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
886 shares @ 14.9¢·now 25.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$225.80
$93.75
- YES
Fed rate hike in 2026?
86 shares @ 58.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$36.57
$-13.34
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
3156 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$36.30
$3.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$54.18Jun 13, 15:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$0.00Jun 11, 12:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$18.52Jun 11, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$5.26Jun 11, 12:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?$0.66Jun 10, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?$23.49Jun 10, 12:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?$370.53Jun 10, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?$0.42Jun 10, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?$0.14Jun 10, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$1.1KJun 8, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$49.91Jun 8, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?$463.12Jun 8, 06:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$375.00Jun 8, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?$34.95Jun 8, 06:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?$9.59Jun 7, 22:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?$70.50Jun 7, 22:00 UTC
- REWARD$0.20Jun 5, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$1.86Jun 5, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?$1.71Jun 4, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?$137.67Jun 4, 08:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $80.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 09:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 15:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.