Those-Skywalk
0x55291dc2069439a6de5c93a9bec8da2215a9e5b9
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$46.9K
Total PnL
$4.4K
Realised
$2.3K
Win rate
92%
131 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the Democrats win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?
2527 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.4K
$0.00
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-28 House seat?
1814 shares @ 91.9¢·now 93.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.7K
$28.14
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2027?
1616 shares @ 96.1¢·now 97.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.6K
$20.01
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-14 House seat?
1412 shares @ 94.3¢·now 95.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.3K
$9.10
- NO
Will Cory Booker announce a Presidential run before 2027?
1364 shares @ 91.5¢·now 95.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.3K
$47.40
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-34 House seat?
1266 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.2K
$7.25
- NO
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
1192 shares @ 91.6¢·now 93.8¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.1K
$25.61
- NO
Will the Democratic Party win the AK-AL House seat?
1215 shares @ 85.7¢·now 91.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.1K
$70.53
- YES
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
1152 shares @ 83.8¢·now 92.8¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.1K
$104.66
- YES
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
30170 shares @ 1.2¢·now 3.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$980.52
$612.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?$37.14Jul 29, 04:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?$122.16Jul 29, 04:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?$229.13Jul 29, 04:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oliver Gilbert be the FL-24 Democratic nominee?$12.80Jul 29, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Treg Taylor advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?$89.00Jul 29, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Philadelphia 76ers be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?$6.24Jul 29, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ryan Gosling win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?$46.18Jul 29, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Cruise win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?$6.74Jul 29, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?$9.57Jul 29, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fjord win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?$217.05Jul 29, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wild Horse Nine win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?$19.20Jul 29, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?$41.37Jul 29, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Connecticut governor race in 2026?$15.98Jul 29, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?$29.91Jul 29, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?$43.98Jul 29, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?$65.97Jul 29, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renate Reinsve win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?$2.40Jul 29, 02:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michael Kirwan be the FL-04 Democratic nominee?$9.02Jul 29, 02:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oliver Gilbert be the FL-24 Democratic nominee?$12.60Jul 29, 02:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oliver Gilbert be the FL-24 Democratic nominee?$12.20Jul 29, 02:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
73/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
92% win rate over 131 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
131 closed markets, 92% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $87.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 18:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 04:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 131 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.