Devoted-Parliament
0x552ef19ef500ebfc5576eabe1ad1a09a8983d7fb
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.99
Total PnL
$-45.42
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
20 shares @ 11.0¢·now 4.9¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$0.99
$-1.25
- YAKULT BROTHERS
Game Handicap: TR (-1.5) vs Yakult Brothers (+1.5)
50 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Bitcoin above 64,600 on June 17, 9PM ET?
31 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
30 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.30
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
30 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-0.30
- NO
Ethereum above 1,750 on June 17, 11PM ET?
25 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.75
- YES
Bitcoin above 71,600 on June 1, 11AM ET?
22 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-6.22
- YES
Ethereum above 2,000 on June 1, 6PM ET?
22 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Ethereum above 1,970 on June 1, 11AM ET?
22 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.78
- YES
Bitcoin above 68,200 on June 2, 1PM ET?
20 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above 62,800 on June 19, 2AM ET?$0.05Jun 19, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above 62,800 on June 19, 2AM ET?$0.25Jun 19, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above 63,800 on June 18, 9AM ET?$0.09Jun 18, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above 63,800 on June 18, 9AM ET?$0.25Jun 18, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF San Gregorio: Ruien Zhang vs Nadia Podoroska$0.55Jun 18, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF San Gregorio: Ruien Zhang vs Nadia Podoroska$0.32Jun 18, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYMap Handicap: TDK (-1.5) vs Ursa (+1.5)$2.31Jun 18, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYGame Handicap: TR (-1.5) vs Yakult Brothers (+1.5)$2.50Jun 18, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above 1,740 on June 18, 5AM ET?$0.04Jun 18, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above 1,740 on June 18, 5AM ET?$1.11Jun 18, 08:08 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum above 1,730 on June 18, 1AM ET?$6.25Jun 18, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above 1,730 on June 18, 1AM ET?$0.25Jun 18, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above 1,730 on June 18, 1AM ET?$0.06Jun 18, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above 63,800 on June 18, 1AM ET?$0.31Jun 18, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above 1,730 on June 18, 1AM ET?$0.94Jun 18, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above 1,730 on June 18, 1AM ET?$3.75Jun 18, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above 1,750 on June 17, 11PM ET?$0.67Jun 18, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above 1,750 on June 17, 11PM ET?$0.20Jun 18, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above 1,750 on June 17, 11PM ET?$0.15Jun 18, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above 1,750 on June 17, 11PM ET?$0.35Jun 18, 02:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $1.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 24, 19:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 19, 05:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.