0x555b7274f3b8ba98c680a609c2443443c95729af
0x555b7274f3b8ba98c680a609c2443443c95729af
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
47
Open notional
$476.93
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$-59.76
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
123 shares @ 81.3¢·now 79.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$97.23
$-2.77
- NO
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
145 shares @ 69.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$96.38
$-3.62
- YES
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
370 shares @ 54.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$94.44
$-105.56
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
606 shares @ 16.5¢·now 13.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$81.52
$-18.48
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
143 shares @ 35.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$57.86
$7.86
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
268 shares @ 26.1¢·now 18.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$49.50
$-20.49
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
715 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
667 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
660 shares @ 11.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.00
$-75.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
385 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.