Slippery-Deficit
0x5582f06c4fdd7ee4739530e67c0e794962c0739a
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$10.39
Total PnL
$-211.12
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
10 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$10.39
$0.42
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
464 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-4.64
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
103 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
63 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
61 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-30.87
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
60 shares @ 47.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-28.87
- ARGENTINA
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
59 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-24.83
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on May 2?
57 shares @ 26.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
55 shares @ 56.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-31.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
40 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-19.25
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$12.50Jul 20, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$25.55Jul 16, 14:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?$25.20Jul 15, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?$8.27Jul 15, 12:32 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$4.62Jun 13, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$5.06Jun 13, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.05Jun 13, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$5.12Jun 13, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$5.10Apr 30, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$2.12Apr 30, 14:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$7.53Apr 30, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$2.09Apr 30, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on May 1?$5.20Apr 30, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on May 2?$15.55Apr 30, 14:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$0.00Apr 29, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$10.14Apr 29, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$5.33Apr 29, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$1.02Apr 29, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$30.95Apr 29, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$32.00Apr 27, 12:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $10.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 26, 15:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 00:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.