Male-Teenager
0x5589f1201ea67104c26e1b0126c737bb54cdd13b
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.6K
Realised
$-373.99
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?
16432 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-48.70
- NO
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?
8177 shares @ 18.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- NO
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
3425 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-274.00
- YES
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in over 2 hours and 30 minutes?
3230 shares @ 18.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-602.24
- NO
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?
2881 shares @ 17.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-505.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 24, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
2467 shares @ 22.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-544.31
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
2329 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-180.08
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on December 3?
1910 shares @ 25.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-481.60
- NO
Will Time announce Person of the Year on December 11?
1809 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-112.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
1658 shares @ 14.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-247.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 AND England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score AND Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Colombia O/U 1.5$26.47Jun 17, 14:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?$1.00May 4, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?$53.27May 4, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$114.00Mar 30, 13:31 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by April 30?$105.04Mar 30, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$90.00Mar 30, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$90.99Mar 30, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$10.00Mar 30, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$39.00Mar 30, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$200.00Mar 30, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$0.01Mar 30, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$200.00Mar 30, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$200.00Mar 30, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$200.00Mar 30, 13:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$487.87Mar 30, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$130.00Mar 30, 13:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$65.45Mar 30, 13:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$168.47Mar 30, 13:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$1.00Mar 30, 13:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$37.60Mar 30, 13:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
40% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $80.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 30, 11:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 17, 14:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.